If you ask the average middle-aged or senior
investor how well they performed as an investor in their 20s, the majority of
them would likely say, “Not very.” That’s because perception is so different
when you’re in your 20s. Not only do you think you will live forever, but you
want in-the-moment money for immediate needs and wants. Most twentysomethings aren’t
thinking about future expenses and retirement. Fortunately, there are ways to
generate relatively fast money while also saving for future expenses and
retirement.
Since the
dotcom bubble, we've lived in a highly volatile economic environment. A lot of
people don’t realize that the dotcom bubble of 2000 a period where many internet
start-ups generated no profit played a major role in today’s boom-bust
economy. Put simply, the Internet crash, combined with the economic
effects of 9/11, led to then record-low interest rates. This, in turn, led to
the real estate bubble. That bubble crashed several years later, soon followed
by the stock market. The end result? New record-low interest rates.
This has led to what might be the biggest stock
market bubble throughout history. When interest rates are low, borrowing costs
are cheap, which leads to debt-fueled growth. But without enough demand in most
industries due to a lack of wage growth, this is not sustainable. Eventually,
interest rates will increase, which will make those debts more expensive. This
will cut into cash flow allocated for growth due to necessary debt repayments. And
the vicious cycle begins. This could lead to a crash in stocks of around 50%.
You can read and listen to all the economists and pundits you want about
staying the course, but a 50% haircut to your portfolio will take years to make
back, if not longer.
Sounds scary, doesn’t it? That's good. It’s
supposed to scare you. I’m not about touting investment ideas for young
investors that will end up leading to financial ruin. Avoiding disaster is more
important than growth potential. The stock market might move higher for a
while, but the current bull run isn’t sustainable.
1. Don't shun stocks
That said, this doesn’t mean you should avoid
stocks. The difference between today and a normal stock market environment is
that now you need to be highly selective. Avoid investing in companies that
rise with the tide. Instead, invest in firms that offer revolutionary
technologies. The stocks of these companies will still take a hit in
a bear market, but thanks to their innovation, not only will they be
capable of coming back, they'll thrive.
A few examples of companies that have offered such
products or services over the past decade are Apple Inc. (AAPL), Netflix, Inc.
(NFLX), and more recently, Tesla Motors, Inc. (TSLA). Without getting into
individual stock ideas, two future growth industries are likely to be cybersecurity
and alternative energy.
If you choose to invest in a small-cap that you
deem to be the next Apple, Netflix, or Tesla, then strongly consider
dollar-cost averaging. This will reduce risk and you will still have plenty of
potential for excellent returns over the long haul because you will be buying
more shares at cheaper prices.
Another long-term approach to building wealth is to
apply a dividend reinvestment plan to large-cap stocks that pay sustainable
dividends and offer more resiliency to bear markets. This proven strategy
allows you to reinvest your cash dividends by purchasing additional shares on
dividend payment dates. Better yet, most DRIPs allow you to buy shares
commission-free and at a significant discount to the current share price.
As far as real estate is concerned, you don’t need
to own actual property. Owning properties can cause a lot of headaches,
especially if you have a bad tenant and/or maintenance problems. Instead, look
into REITs real estate investment trusts. With a REIT, you're
essentially investing in a management team to run the property. In
addition to a quality management team, you also want to invest in
one that’s in-line with current and future trends. For example, healthcare
facilities, urban shopping, and apartment living are good places to be at the
moment, and this is likely to remain the case over the next several years. You
might want to avoid any type of REIT tied to suburbia. REITs are also appealing
to many investors because they offer high dividend yields.
2. Disperse funds artfully
After the initial scare, you might be asking
yourself why I included information on markets that have seen crashes in recent
years. Historically speaking, no type of investment has grown faster than the
rate of inflation than common stock and real estate. You just need to be more
careful with your stock and REIT investments than in the past.
The next step is to allocate your capital
accordingly. Most advisors will recommend that you take more risk at an earlier
age. This is correct, but only to a certain extent. It doesn’t mean that you
should go all-in on a small-cap biotech stock. Instead, you want to diversify
your portfolio but with more capital allocation to risk than the middle-aged or
senior investor. The breakdown depends on your current financial situation and
future goals, but most investors like to keep speculative investments at around
5%. If you’re in your 20s and you’re comfortable with risk, then you can
allocate 10% of your capital to speculative investments. The potential reward
will be high, and if you’re wrong, then you have plenty of time to make it back
with income generation. As stated earlier, dollar-cost averaging should be
considered. You can also allocate some capital to fixed income, but at this
age, this isn’t as important because you're generating income.
Buying on margin is something that should only be
considered by extremely high-risk investors. When you buy on margin, you’re
using leverage in attempt to magnify gains, but the downside risks are extreme.
The real risk here is that most people in their 20s don’t have enough
experience with investing, yet they’re certain they know better. This is a
dangerous situation. If you’re incorrect with your predictions, you'll be faced
with a margin call you'll either have to deposit more money or sell some
of your assets, potentially a car or a house. In other words, avoid using
margin. By doing so, you will avoid unnecessary debt.
The big problem with margin is that even if your
predictions are correct, the market can stay irrational longer than you can
stay solvent. When you buy with cash (opposed to margin), you can wait forever
for an investment to come back. Nobody can force you to do otherwise. When you
buy on margin, there is a time limit.
Buying on margin isn’t the only high-risk
investment to avoid.
3. Leveraged ETFs
To the average investor, leveraged ETFs look highly
appealing. Why shouldn’t they? Your gains can be three times what they would be
with a standard ETF. And it’s certainly possible to invest in a leveraged ETF
that goes on a tear and delivers a significant return in a short period of
time.
The problem is that leveraged ETFs always come with
high expenses. The average expense ratio on an ETF is 0.46%. The average
expense ratio on a leveraged ETF is 0.89%. This will cut into your profits and
exacerbate your losses. Also, that 3x potential return is daily not annually and
it's before fees and expenses.
If you look at leveraged ETFs that have performed
poorly for two years or more, almost all of them have suffered depreciation of
more than 95%. This is horrific and should be avoided at all
costs. Leveraged ETFs are for experienced traders and investors who have a
good idea of where an index, commodity, or currency will be headed in the near
future.
4. Other investment Dos
One of the best investments you can make: college.
If you’re in your 20s and you haven’t gone to college, this isn't what you want
to hear: A college degree is valuable. If you’re worried about cost, then go to
a community college for the first two years. You can work at the same time to
save money for when you transfer. Also, college courses are very different from
high school classes. In college, you’re not forced to take a wide range of
classes. Instead, you take courses you’re interested in, which makes learning
enjoyable. It also leads to specialization in a certain area, which increases
your value in the workplace, especially since high-skilled workers are more in
demand today than they have been in the past. The same can’t be said for
low-skilled workers.
Start saving for retirement as early as possible.
For tax-free withdrawals in the future, look into a Roth IRA. In order to
withdraw, you must have owned the Roth IRA for at least five years and be 59.5
years old.
There’s another simple secret to building wealth
that's highly effective and risk-free. Save 10% of every paycheck you earn. You
must pay yourself before anyone else, including insurance companies,
utility companies, and so on. If you consistently follow this approach, your
wealth will build at a surprising rate. It doesn’t sound like a lot, but it
adds up fast. Let’s say you’re 27 years old and your bi-weekly paycheck is
approximately $1,350. That’s a $135 deposit into your savings every two weeks,
which is $270 a month and $3,240 per year. Any 20-something in their right mind
would take a guaranteed return of $3,240 per year.
The Bottom Line
We currently live in a dangerous economic
environment. But if you implement dollar-cost averaging while
allocating the majority of your capital to a DRIP with large-cap/resistant
stocks and the rest (about 10%) to small-cap stocks, you will greatly reduce
risk while allowing for the potential of impressive long-term returns. REITs
are also a good way to invest in real estate without any headaches. Avoid
margin and leveraged ETFs. Start putting money away early for retirement with a
Roth IRA. And begin saving at least 10% of every paycheck.





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